Axsome Therapeutics Valuation
| AXSM Stock | USD 184.74 1.44 0.79% |
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Axsome Therapeutics shows a prevailing Real Value of $195.28 per share. The current price of the firm is $184.74. Our model approximates the value of Axsome Therapeutics from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.41) %, current valuation of 9.03 B, and Return On Equity of -2.75 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Axsome Therapeutics' valuation include:
Price Book 123.9068 | Enterprise Value | Enterprise Value Ebitda (14.81) | Price Sales 16.464 | Forward PE 333.3333 |
Undervalued
Today
Please note that Axsome Therapeutics' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Axsome Therapeutics is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Axsome Therapeutics' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Axsome stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Axsome Therapeutics. Since Axsome Therapeutics is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Axsome Stock. However, Axsome Therapeutics' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 184.74 | Real 195.28 | Target 215.44 | Hype 184.55 | Naive 187.86 |
The intrinsic value of Axsome Therapeutics' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Axsome Therapeutics' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Axsome Therapeutics helps investors to forecast how Axsome stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Axsome Therapeutics more accurately as focusing exclusively on Axsome Therapeutics' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Axsome Therapeutics' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Axsome Therapeutics' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Axsome Therapeutics' closest peers.
Axsome Therapeutics Cash |
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Axsome Revenue by Product
Axsome Therapeutics Total Value Analysis
Axsome Therapeutics is presently projected to have valuation of 9.03 B with market capitalization of 9.24 B, debt of 192.96 M, and cash on hands of 73.39 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Axsome Therapeutics fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
9.03 B | 9.24 B | 192.96 M | 73.39 M |
Axsome Therapeutics Investor Information
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 4.67. Axsome Therapeutics had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Axsome Therapeutics' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Axsome Therapeutics is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.Axsome Therapeutics Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Axsome Therapeutics has an asset utilization ratio of 67.84 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.68 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Axsome Therapeutics is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Axsome Therapeutics Profitability Analysis
Based on Axsome Therapeutics' profitability indicators, Axsome Therapeutics may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Axsome Therapeutics' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.Net Loss | First Reported 2013-12-31 | Previous Quarter -48 M | Current Value -47.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 25.8 M |
| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.72 | 0.82 |
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For Axsome Therapeutics profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Axsome Therapeutics to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Axsome Therapeutics utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Axsome Therapeutics's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Axsome Therapeutics over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
Axsome Therapeutics Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
The next projected EPS of Axsome Therapeutics is estimated to be 0.08615 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.9075 to a high of 1.2475. Axsome Therapeutics' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -4.67. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Axsome Therapeutics is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Axsome Therapeutics Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of Axsome Therapeutics' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Axsome Therapeutics is estimated to be 0.08615 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.9075 to a high of 1.2475. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Axsome Therapeutics is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
-0.91 Lowest | Expected EPS | 1.25 Highest |
Axsome Therapeutics Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of Axsome Therapeutics' value are higher than the current market price of the Axsome Therapeutics stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Axsome Therapeutics is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Axsome Therapeutics' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
| Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 31st of December 2026 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
| 20 | 75.71% | 0.0 | 0.08615 | -4.67 |
Axsome Therapeutics Ownership Allocation
Axsome Therapeutics holds a total of 50.41 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Axsome Therapeutics outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Axsome Therapeutics to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Axsome Therapeutics. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Axsome Therapeutics as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.Axsome Therapeutics Profitability Analysis
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 385.69 M. Net Loss for the year was (287.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 515.6 M.About Axsome Therapeutics Valuation
We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Axsome Therapeutics. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Axsome Therapeutics based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Axsome Therapeutics's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Axsome Therapeutics's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Axsome Therapeutics. We calculate exposure to Axsome Therapeutics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Axsome Therapeutics's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 405.2 M | 425.5 M | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | (0.67) | (0.70) | |
| Operating Profit Margin | (0.65) | (0.69) | |
| Net Loss | (0.67) | (0.70) | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.82 | 0.72 |
Axsome Therapeutics Growth Indicators
Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Axsome Therapeutics does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.9 M | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 333.3333 |
Axsome Therapeutics Current Valuation Indicators
Axsome Therapeutics' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Axsome Therapeutics' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Axsome Therapeutics, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Axsome Therapeutics' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Axsome Therapeutics' worth.When determining whether Axsome Therapeutics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Axsome Therapeutics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Axsome Therapeutics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Axsome Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Axsome Therapeutics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. To learn how to invest in Axsome Stock, please use our How to Invest in Axsome Therapeutics guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Will Pharmaceuticals sector continue expanding? Could Axsome diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axsome Therapeutics. If investors know Axsome will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Axsome Therapeutics data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (4.67) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.632 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Axsome Therapeutics using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Axsome Therapeutics' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Axsome Therapeutics' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Axsome Therapeutics' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Axsome Therapeutics represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Axsome Therapeutics' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.